GRAPH 4

February Signature Poll Results

1.  In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?  And would you say you strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove? 

24%     STRONGLY APPROVE
19%      SOMEWHAT APPROVE
6%        UNDECIDED
11%      SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE
38%     STRONGLY DISAPPROVE
1%       DON’T KNOW/REFUSED

43%   TOTAL APPROVE
49%   TOTAL DISAPPROVE

2.  If the election for United States Congress were held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or Democratic candidate?  And would you say that is definitely or probably Republican/Democrat? 

32%  DEFINITELY REPUBLICAN
12%  PROBABLY REPUBLICAN
14%  UNDECIDED
13%  PROBABLY DEMOCRAT
25%  DEFINITELY DEMOCRAT
4%   DON’T KNOW/REFUSED

44%   TOTAL REPUBLICAN
38%   TOTAL DEMOCRAT

3. In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Kay Hagan is doing as US Senator?

15%   STRONGLY APPROVE
22%   SOMEWHAT APPROVE
20%  UNDECIDED
12%   SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE
27%   STRONGLY DISAPPROVE
5%     DON’T KNOW/REFUSED

37% TOTAL APPROVE
39% TOTAL DISAPPROVE

4.  In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Pat McCrory is doing as North Carolina Governor?  And would you say you strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove?    

19%   STRONGLY APPROVE
25%   SOMEWHAT APPROVE
14%   UNDECIDED
13%   SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE
27%   STRONGLY DISAPPROVE
3%     DON’T KNOW/REFUSED

43%  TOTAL APPROVE
40%  TOTAL DISAPPROVE

5.  Do you feel things in North Carolina are generally headed in the right direction, or are off on the wrong track? 

34%     RIGHT DIRECTION
48%     WRONG TRACK
17%     DON’T KNOW/REFUSED

6.  Do you feel more or less confident in your economic future today than you did two years ago?

26%     MORE CONFIDENT
46%     LESS CONFIDENT
22%     NO CHANGE
6%       DON’T KNOW/REFUSED

7.  Would you like to see President Obama’s agenda implemented on the state level in North Carolina?

38%    YES
48%    NO
13%    DON’T KNOW/REFUSED

8.  If the election for the North Carolina state legislature were held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or Democratic candidate?

30%   DEFINITELY REPUBLICAN
12%    PROBABLY REPUBLICAN
14%   UNDECIDED
15%   PROBABLY DEMOCRAT
26%   DEFINITELY DEMOCRAT
4%     DON’T KNOW/REFUSED

41%  TOTAL REPUBLICAN
41%  TOTAL DEMOCRAT

9. In considering candidates for US Senate, what professional background would you prefer in your Senator?

23%  Business
14%  Faith-based
14%  Finance
13%  Health Care
8%    Law
7%    Government
22%  DON’T KNOW/REFUSED

10. If the Republican primary election for US Senator were held today, who would you vote for? (Among 168 self-identified Republicans; Margin of Error: ±7.6%)

11%  Thom Tillis
7%    Mark Harris
4%   Greg Brannon
4%   Heather Grant
55% Undecided
19%  DON’T KNOW/REFUSED

11. If the candidates for Senate were Democrat Kay Hagan and Republican Thom Tillis, who would you vote for?

24%  DEFINITELY HAGAN
14%  PROBABLY HAGAN
18%  UNDECIDED
14%  PROBABLY TILLIS
21%  DEFINITELY TILLIS
8%    DON’T KNOW/REFUSED

38% TOTAL HAGAN
35% TOTAL TILLIS

12. If the candidates for Senate were Democrat Kay Hagan and Republican Mark Harris, who would you vote for?

26%  DEFINITELY HAGAN
13%  PROBABLY HAGAN
20%  UNDECIDED
17%  PROBABLY HARRIS
19%  DEFINITELY HARRIS
6%    DON’T KNOW/REFUSED

39%  TOTAL HAGAN
35%  TOTAL HARRIS

13. If the candidates for Senate were Democrat Kay Hagan and Republican Greg Brannon, who would you vote for?

26%  DEFINITELY HAGAN
12%  PROBABLY HAGAN
19%  UNDECIDED
17%  PROBABLY BRANNON
19%  DEFINITELY BRANNON
7%    DON’T KNOW/REFUSED

38%  TOTAL HAGAN
36%  TOTAL BRANNON

14. If the election for governor were held today would you vote for Republican Governor Pat McCrory or Democrat Attorney General Roy Cooper?  And would you say that is definitely or probably McCrory/Cooper? 

30%   DEFINITELY MCCRORY
14%   PROBABLY MCCRORY
13%   UNDECIDED
14%   PROBABLY COOPER
24%   DEFINITELY COOPER
5%     DON’T KNOW/REFUSED

44%  TOTAL MCCRORY
38%  TOTAL COOPER​

15.  Has the rollout of the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare, given you more confidence in government, less confidence in government or had no impact on your view? 

19%   MORE CONFIDENCE
50%   LESS CONFIDENCE
23%   NO IMPACT
8%     DON’T KNOW/REFUSED

16.   Do you support or oppose providing incentives to out-of-state companies to encourage them to open and hire in North Carolina, particularly in high unemployment areas?    

67%     SUPPORT
16%     OPPOSE
17%     DON’T KNOW/REFUSED

 

DEMOGRAPHIC QUESTIONS

A. Politically, what do you think of yourself as?

18% STRONG REPUBLICAN
9% NOT SO STRONG REPUBLICAN
30% INDEPENDENT
12% NOT SO STRONG DEMOCRAT
24% STRONG DEMOCRAT
6% SOMETHING ELSE
2% DON’T KNOW/REFUSED

27% TOTAL REPUBLICAN
30% INDEPENDENT
35% TOTAL DEMOCRAT

B. How would you describe your political views?

37% CONSERVATIVE
35% MODERATE
20% LIBERAL
8% DON’T KNOW/REFUSED

C. How would you describe yourself politically?

21% Conservative Republican
10% Moderate Republican
28% Independent
23% Moderate Democrat
13% Progressive Democrat
5% DON’T KNOW/REFUSED

D. Are you male or female?

46% MALE
54% FEMALE

E. In what year were you born?

26% 18-34
26% 35-49
27% 50-64
21% 65+

F. What is your main ethnic or racial heritage?

71% WHITE
22% BLACK OR AFRICAN-AMERICAN
2%    HISPANIC OR LATINO
4%  OTHER/MIXED
2%  DON’T KNOW/REFUSED

G. Party Registration (From Voter File)

43% Democrat
31% Republican
26% Unaffiliated

Note: Due to rounding, numbers may not add to 100%. Totals are calculated independently of their component points, and may deviate slightly, also due to rounding.

METHODOLOGY: American Insights surveyed 611 registered voters in North Carolina between February 11th and 15th. The margin of error for the survey is +/- 4.0%. “Triple Helix” mixed modal surveying methodology included 60% landline phone, 20% cell phone, and 20% online.  All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to accurately reflect the actual registered voter population in North Carolina according to age, race, gender, geographic area and party registration.  On party registration, the sample precisely matched the registered voter population at 43% Democrat, 31% Republican, 26% Unaffiliated.

For complete crosstabs, see February Crosstabs.